Uttar Pradesh – politically the most important state in the country – will go to polls next year. Already, political leaders and pundits have geared up for the high pitched battle in the crucial assembly elections that will have repurcussions for the whole nation.
The BJP is projected to win within a range of 134 to 150 seats, while the ruling SP is projected to win 133 to 149 seats, both short of a clear majority in the 403-seat assembly.
The survey is based on a “random stratified sample” of 20,642 respondents interviewed across all 403 assembly segments between August 1 and 31, and the data have been weighted to known demographic profile, according to CVoter, which conducted the survey.
What’s surprising for the BJP is that it is projected to get 27.79 per cent vote — with a huge swing of 12.78 percent in its favour — compared to 15.01 percent that the party garnered in the 2012 assembly polls.
The BSP comes third with 25.44 percent, a 0.47 drop from its 2012 votes share of 25.91 percent.
“Any BJP leader” gets 26 per cent support while Congress chief ministerial candidate Sheila Dikshit comes fourth with 5.1 percent.
During the survey, a large number of people wanted a change in the current state government.
The BJP, which grabbed 71 of 80 seats in Uttar Pradesh in the 2014 general elections, is making a big push to win the state in a bid to drive key reforms at the Centre.
On the other hand, the SP government is in a hurry to complete its mega flagship programmes and projects, and not without reason. In run up to the 2017 Uttar Pradesh polls, chief minister Akhilesh Yadav has hinted at including the free mobile handset scheme in the ruling Samajwadi Party (SP) election manifesto.
The present UP assembly’s tenure expires in March next year, and the elections are due in January-February.